Overseas Property Blog :: guide to international real estate investment

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Posts Tagged ‘Dubai Property’

Dubai Rents ONLY Fell 17% in 2010

During the boom Dubai property became world famous for world firsts; a group of man-made islands in the shape of a palm tree here, the world’s tallest tower there, and a group of man-made islands in the shape of the world somewhere else. However, since then it has become famous for a whole other set of recorded firsts.

WikiLeaks: Afghan vice-president ‘landed in Dubai with $52m in cash’

We recently reported on the massive Dubai property buying spree as members of the Afghan government and Kabul Bank directors bought up dozens of properties using suitcases of cash — literally.

But it is only in new US diplomatic cables that have been released by Wikileaks that we find out the true extent of the apparent corruption, theft and the powerlessness of the US government to spend all our money (taxpayers funding the money tap) on luxury properties leaving the Afghan population to live in squalor.

Austrian Developer First to Build on the World… in Dubai

The-World-Island-Duabai

An Austrian developer is to become the first to build on the famous come infamous Dubai World Islands — an archipelago of islands loosely matched to a map of the world; loosely in that the islands are in roughly the same place as the corresponding country on the map, but the islands are not shaped like the nations or cities they represent.

Developer Josef Kleindienst bought six of the islands in 2006, but delayed plans because of the market slump. The fact that he is building now, how he is building now and the success stories he is telling reporters could all become known as significant in a turnaround-of-fortunes for the luxury property sector in Dubai.

It is significant that the firm has reduced investments in countries like South Africa to start building in Dubai. Looking at reports of both property markets South Africa appears to have the most near-term potential, but apparently Kleindienst Group research disagrees, or at least sees more potential in Dubai than most of us do right now.

And, according to statements from Josef Kleindienst, CEO of the family-owned firm, their opening sales have vindicated this decision.

Kleindienst is building The Heart of Europe, including a replica European City, complete with solar-powered climate controlled raining street, a Beach Bar on Monte Carlo, and villas and a hotel on St Petersburg, Germany and Austria.

According to Kleidienst, 12 of the villas on Germany have been sold for between $1.9 million and $5.5 million each. Selling off plan properties in Dubai is incredibly difficult at the moment, but Kleidienst believes the uniqueness of the development will win the day.

“Dubai needs holiday homes,” Kleindienst, chief executive officer of family-owned Kleindienst Group, said in an interview on the island representing Germany. “If you look at the state of the Dubai market right now, I don’t see demand for properties besides holiday homes for many years.”

Kleidienst also said that While Nakheel “did everything they had to do contractually,” the company hasn’t gone ahead with plans to build infrastructure such as transport hubs that would have helped owners of individual islands move forward with construction, Kleindienst said.

In an emailed response to the press Nakheel said:

“All the necessary facilities remain part of the overall plan for The World development and will be available in accordance with the requirements of the development.”

Dubai developer AA Properties, owner of Taiwan is planning to construct villas and houses there later this year, according to statements from the company.

Kleidienst believes that his development, if successful will spur others to start developing on the islands.

“They are watching us to see if we are able to earn money out there,” he said. “The moment they see that we are successful, they will follow.”

Analysts are mixed in their predictions of that success:

Deutsche Bank AG analyst Nabil Ahmed agrees that the uniqueness of the project could be a differentiating factor in its having success while other developments in Dubai falter, he said:

“Occupancy rates in Dubai hotels are pretty low right now and there are a lot of vacancies,” said. “But if you are a billionaire and you want to rent a top-end, very large luxury villa on your own island for a couple of weeks, I don’t believe there is that kind of product in the market.”

Meanwhile Dubai based analyst Martin Kohlhase believes the development will not do any better than those around it:

“The World is probably closely correlated with what happens in consumer sentiment and the real estate market in the Emirates. Given that we don’t expect a revival for the next 12 to 18 months, I think it’s unlikely there will be a revival of The World project,” he said.

One thing is certain, the world will be watching the world very closely, and success for Kleindienst could lead to success for the world.

Dubai Property Market to Recover in 2012, Because…

dubai-bridge

Investment Boutique has just released its report into the Dubai real estate market entitled the Dubai State of the Market report 2010. The report is very downbeat in places, but very upbeat in its forecast of a near-complete turnaround in 2012.

For instance: the firm believes that the over-supply of residential units will hit 110,000-115,000 by the end of 2012. This is one of the largest figures that have ever been put on the scale of Dubai’s residential over-supply problem.

On the other hand the report then takes a price-bottom being reached in the latter part of this year almost as a foregone conclusion, and also assumes that the “banks will slowly loosen lending criteria as they can fully understand the effects of the downturn and forecasting future results becomes easier.”

Another assumption the report makes is that confidence will return to the market in 2012. All these assumptions are made with very little reasoning behind them. On the other hand the firm predicts more project cancellations this year, as developers focus on completing those developments that are nearest completion, in order that they can collect on-completion bullet payments.

International Property News Beat – How to Buy a Forclosure, Panic in Dubai & Stagnation Fears in the UK

Merril Lynch Predicts 15% Dubai Property Price Drop This Year

dubai-marina-from-grosvener-house-hotel-dubai

Bank of America Merrill Lynch has just issued one of the starkest predictions ever on Dubai’s residential property market. A report by the firm estimates that prices will fall 15% this year, as a 44,000 unit supply overhang forces a correction to current price levels.

"Even if all qualifying expats from Abu Dhabi and Sharjah relocated to Dubai tomorrow, we estimate that there would still be 44,000 vacant units in 2010," said Merrill Lynch analysts in the report.

2010′s First – International Property News Beat

Have Dubai Property Prices Regained a Little Ground?

Jumeirah-Beach-Residence-Marina-side

Having been dropping like a stone thanks to the global economic crisis, Dubai property prices have finally risen again, according to real estate consultancy Colliers International – by 7% in the third quarter. This is the first rise since the emirate’s property market crashed at the end of 2008. Investors who bought during the boom will not be dancing in the streets just yet, though, as this rise still leaves prices around 50% down on their pre-crash level.

Dubai Property Still Sinking Amidst Billion Dollar Merger

buildings-in-dubai-UAE Moves by the Dubai government to inspire confidence in the once booming property market seem to have backfired.

The recession has shown that Dubai’s growth was financed by billions of pounds of debt and this burden is threatening to drag the city under the desert sands.

Several government-backed developers were at the forefront of major residential and commercial buildings in Dubai.

Shares in the largest listed Arab developer Emaar Property had 10% wiped off their price on announcement of the merger with Dubai Properties, Sama Dubai and Tatweer.

These three companies are all subsidiaries of Dubai Holdings, which has the backing of the Dubai royal family and analysts fear in the background assets are just being shuffled on paper to shore up ailing companies.

Midweek – International Property News Beat – More Dubai Woes, Chinese Housing & Hot Swiss Property

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