Agence France Presse reports that Singapore’s residential property prices rose by 10% in 2006 and that rents have risen by a truly extraordinary 100% in 2007 so far. That rentals are increasing steeply is confirmed by other sources (http://lushhome.wordpress.com/2007/04/) and there is evidence to suggest that the government is just as surprised at the change as everyone else appears to be. However, we’ve found no confirmation of AFP’s 100% increase statistic, yet. Data to hand suggests that rental yields have normally been in the region of 3.5% maximum for a number of years. Given that interest rates on savings in Singapore are less than 1% pa (www.singstat.gov.sg/Keystats/mqstats/ess/essa51.pdf ), property would still seem to be an attractive investment but, as borrowing rates are considerably higher (prime lending rate is 5.33%), any kind of gearing for property investments would be heavily dependent upon prices of assets rising to be economic. Mortgage rates are lower with fixed rate mortgages available at 3.75% and floating rate ones available at 3.4% (with even more favourable terms for one to three year terms. With the increase rental yields in the first half of 2007 the economics of property investment in Singapore are seeing a sea-change.
Archive for June, 2007
Singapore: Is the Property Surge Sustainable?
by Overseas Property Mall on Friday, June 29th, 2007 in Singapore Property, Trends
International Property News Beat – US REITs – a Bubble Rolling Over, Drop in foreign property purchases in Phuket and Top International Property Investment Hotspots
by Overseas Property Mall on Friday, June 29th, 2007 in Property Industry News

- US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Bubble Rolling Over! Foreign Financials Flying! [The Market Oracle]
- DIFC passes the Real Property Law [Dubai Real Estate News Blog]
- Top international property investment hotspots [Easier]
- US Bond yields encroach on economy’s pain threshold [Reuters]
- Are you ready for Montenegro [Telegraph]
- Phuket foreign property sales drop [Bangkok Post]
- Standard Life adds 52 funds to platform [IFA Online]
Some Implications from The Mercer Global Cost of Living Survey – 2007
by Overseas Property Mall on Thursday, June 28th, 2007 in Property & Real Estate Press Releases, Research
The latest Mercer ranking of cities by cost of living places Moscow, London and Seoul in first, second and third place. Mercer’s own analysis of the rankings gives prominence to changes in exchange rates, and particularly, the fall in the value of the dollar, as the chief ‘motor’ for moves up or down the list. However, in the case of London the change from 5th place in 2006 to second this year is also ascribed to higher property rental costs. Of course, transport costs for London residents are another factor helping the city up the scale. Glasgow (up from 60th to 36th) and Birmingham (up from 69th to 41st ) are among those cities to have moved furthest.
For a true appreciation of what changes in rankings mean for people on the ground it’s important to be aware of developments in Mercer’s benchmark city, New York. The benchmark itself does not remain static; New York housing costs are reported to have risen by an average of 6.5% in the course of 2006. In the US, the consumer prices index rose 3.23% in 2006 and the rise in the 12 months to March (when the Mercer survey was conducted) was 2.77%. These increase in New York costs of living need to be borne in mind when considering Mercer’s cost of living indices for other cities (which are all relative to New York). So far the serious softness in much of the US housing market does not appear to be showing up in Mercer’s figures.
Although a cost of living survey is necessarily a somewhat blunt instrument for accessing real estate in the different cities covered, the Mercer report does throw up some interesting contrasts, nevertheless. Focusing on places covered by Overseas Property Mall in the last few months, it’s interesting that Bratislava is not only more expensive than Prague again, but costs of living there have risen considerably more sharply in the last year. Berlin continues to be slightly cheaper than Munich or Frankfurt though all three have risen up the table as a result of the increased rate of exchange for the Euro. Sofia is Europe’s least expensive city (ranked 108th). Athens, Barcelona and Madrid, also affected by the Euro’s rise, have all risen a long way up the table in the last year.
Outside Europe, Dubai and Abu Dhabi have both slipped down the table a little. Does this reflect a measure of stability in property prices and rents in the UAE? Interestingly, Dakar in Senegal is higher up at 33rd with a substantial increase in its cost of living index. However, this is probably mainly a reflection of the fixed exchange rate the CFA franc enjoys with the Euro.
Finally, it is worth remembering that Mercer’s methodology is based on the similarities in spending patterns among people in middle and higher income brackets no matter where they originate from. The rankings are of limited value to those relocating themselves, say as a matter of lifestyle choice, who are happy to do as the Romans do when in Rome.
Mercer Human Resource Consulting Cost of Living Survey – Worldwide Ranking 2007 (including housing) Top 50 | ||||||||||
Base City: New York, USA (=100) | ||||||||||
Rankings | Cost of Living index | |||||||||
March 2007 | March 2006 | City | Country | March 2007 | March 2006 | |||||
1 | 1 | MOSCOW | Russia | 134.4 | 123.9 | |||||
2 | 5 | LONDON | United Kingdom | 126.3 | 110.6 | |||||
3 | 2 | SEOUL | South Korea | 122.4 | 121.7 | |||||
4 | 3 | TOKYO | Japan | 122.1 | 119.1 | |||||
5 | 4 | HONG KONG | Hong Kong | 119.4 | 116.3 | |||||
6 | 8 | COPENHAGEN | Denmark | 110.2 | 101.1 | |||||
7 | 7 | GENEVA | Switzerland | 109.8 | 103 | |||||
8 | 6 | OSAKA | Japan | 108.4 | 108.3 | |||||
9 | 9 | ZURICH | Switzerland | 107.6 | 100.8 | |||||
10 | 10 | OSLO | Norway | 105.8 | 100 | |||||
11 | 13 | MILAN | Italy | 104.4 | 96.9 | |||||
12 | 12 | ST. PETERSBURG | Russia | 103 | 99.7 | |||||
13 | 15 | PARIS | France | 101.4 | 93.1 | |||||
14 | 17 | SINGAPORE | Singapore | 100.4 | 92 | |||||
15 | 10 | NEW YORK CITY, NY | United States | 100 | 100 | |||||
16 | 18 | DUBLIN | Ireland | 99.6 | 91.8 | |||||
17 | 24 | TEL AVIV | Israel | 97.7 | 89.7 | |||||
18 | 21 | ROME | Italy | 97.6 | 89.8 | |||||
19 | 21 | VIENNA | Austria | 96.9 | 89.8 | |||||
20 | 14 | BEIJING | China | 95.9 | 94.9 | |||||
21 | 19 | SYDNEY | Australia | 94.9 | 91.3 | |||||
22 | 25 | HELSINKI | Finland | 93.3 | 87.8 | |||||
23 | 36 | STOCKHOLM | Sweden | 93.1 | 84.8 | |||||
24 | 27 | DOUALA | Cameroon | 92.9 | 87.6 | |||||
25 | 41 | AMSTERDAM | Netherlands | 92.2 | 83.4 | |||||
26 | 53 | MADRID | Spain | 92.1 | 81.6 | |||||
26 | 20 | SHANGHAI | China | 92.1 | 91.2 | |||||
28 | 21 | KIEV | Ukraine | 91.4 | 89.8 | |||||
29 | 59 | ATHENS | Greece | 90.6 | 81.1 | |||||
30 | 52 | ALMATY | Kazakhstan | 89.6 | 81.9 | |||||
31 | 56 | BARCELONA | Spain | 89.2 | 81.2 | |||||
31 | 48 | BRATISLAVA | Slovak Republic | 89.2 | 82.4 | |||||
33 | 45 | DAKAR | Senegal | 89 | 82.8 | |||||
34 | 25 | DUBAI | United Arab Emirates | 88.8 | 87.8 | |||||
35 | 45 | ABIDJAN | Cote d’Ivoire | 88.3 | 82.8 | |||||
36 | 60 | GLASGOW | United Kingdom | 88.1 | 80.7 | |||||
37 | 31 | LAGOS | Nigeria | 88 | 85.5 | |||||
38 | 15 | ISTANBUL | Turkey | 87.7 | 93.1 | |||||
39 | 61 | MUNICH | Germany | 87.6 | 80.2 | |||||
40 | 61 | FRANKFURT | Germany | 87.4 | 80.5 | |||||
41 | 69 | BIRMINGHAM | United Kingdom | 87.2 | 79.7 | |||||
42 | 29 | LOS ANGELES, CA | United States | 87.1 | 86.7 | |||||
43 | 56 | LUXEMBOURG | Luxembourg | 87 | 81.2 | |||||
44 | 70 | BRUSSELS | Belgium | 86.5 | 79.5 | |||||
45 | 30 | ABU DHABI | United Arab Emirates | 85.9 | 86 | |||||
45 | 72 | BERLIN | Germany | 85.9 | 79.2 | |||||
45 | 62 | DUSSELDORF | Germany | 85.9 | 80.4 | |||||
48 | 28 | TAIPEI | Taiwan | 85.8 | 86.8 | |||||
49 | 50 | PRAGUE | Czech Republic | 85.6 | 82.1 | |||||
50 | 51 | ALGIERS | Algeria | 85.1 | 82 | |||||
International Property News Beat – BOA Forsee Rebound in U.S. Housing Market, Morgan Stanley & Goldman Sachs Raise $12b for Property Funds and Rising Foreign Interest in Malaysian Property
by Overseas Property Mall on Thursday, June 28th, 2007 in Property News Summaries

- Morgan, Goldman Raise $12 Billion for Property Funds [Bloomberg]
- Bank of America’s Lewis Sees Rebound for Housing, U.S. Economy [Bloomberg]
- Business property developments in Bulgaria behind central European levels [Sofia Echo]
- Rising foreign interest in Malaysian property [The edge Daily]
- Phuket’s “Most Lavish” branded villas underway at Shangri-La’s new resort & spa [e-Travel]
- Shaikh Holdings to invest $1.2b in UAE golf and waterfront property [Gulf News]
UAE: What Are The Investment Prospects for The Smaller Emirates?
by Overseas Property Mall on Wednesday, June 27th, 2007 in Abu Dhabi Property, Ajman Property, Dubai Property, Fujairah, Ras Al Khaimah Property, UAE Property
Lacking the huge natural resources of Abu Dhabi or the world class infrastructure of Dubai, the smaller members of the United Arab Emirates do have developmental advantages of their own in terms of geographic location and tourist potential.
Ras al Khaimah (population 205,000), the northernmost of the emirates, close by the Omani enclave, reported investment of Dh 100bn in 2006 (approximately $25bn) with the tourism and real estate sectors being particularly active. However, the emirate’s economic plans place industrial development in the key position.
Fujairah (pop. 127,000) has the advantage of being the only UAE port outside the Persian Gulf. Strategic facilities are being constructed to take advantage of this, anticipating any military or naval action that could close the Straits of Hormuz at the mouth of the gulf. These include an oil pipeline from Abu Dhabi and a liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage hub.The latter is a project being undertaken by Dubai Multi Commodities Centre in conjunction with LNG Impel, part of Galveston LNG of Canada. The go-ahead for this important project, representing a capital outlay of Dh 8bn, is contingent on arrangements for Qatar to use the facility. The Fujairah authorities have plans to reclaim two square km from the Arabian Sea for the project.
International Property News Beat – Sofia, Europe’s Least Expensive Expat City, The Palm Dubai’s First Resident Moves in and New Star Property Fund Strengthens its Team
by Overseas Property Mall on Wednesday, June 27th, 2007 in Property News Summaries

- Hearts are ruling heads when it comes to buying abroad [Easier]
- The legal side of buying property in Turkey [Today's Zaman]
- Bulgaria’s capital least expensive city for expat in Europe report [Sofia Echo]
- Meet the first resident of Dubai’s palm-shaped man-made island [Daily Mail]
- Who Owns the Moon? [Catholicgauze]
- UK Housing demand ‘cools’ as borrowing costs increase [QCK.com]
- New Star strengthens international property team [Investment Week]
- Middle Eastern-owned UK realty assets hit record high [Gulf News]
Morgan Stanley’s MSREF VI fund Shows its Commitment to the Global Property Market
by Overseas Property Mall on Tuesday, June 26th, 2007 in Funds, Property Industry News, Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)
Morgan Stanley’s MSREF VI fund has collected $8bn. This total will be leveraged up to in excess of $30bn to make property investments around the world but with a heavy emphasis on the Japanese market (50%) and emerging markets (25%). However, Reuters report that 30% of the fund is earmarked for Europe and 60% for Asia, which would appear not to allow as much for the Chinese and Indian markets as other reports are hinting. The MSREF series of funds currently have real estate assets worth $83.5bn and $31.6bn under management. The new fund is intended to have a return of 20% a year, in line with Morgan Stanley’s overall success with these types of fund since 1991. To date 45% of the MSREF VI funds are reported to be committed, including the $2.4bn purchase of 12 hotels and two property management units from All Nippon Airways. It is not apparent to what extent MSREF VI will be buying up portfolios of non-performing loans in its target market, one of its customary investment strategies.
International Property News Beat – London House Prices Slowest Rise in 5 Months, Mumbai Mafia ridding high on Indian Real Estate and Modest Upswing in Australian Property Market
by Overseas Property Mall on Tuesday, June 26th, 2007 in Property News Summaries

- London House Prices Rise at Slowest in Five Months [Bloomberg]
- Mumbai mafia rides high on India’s property, film boom [Reuters]
- Dubai Land Department Signs Deal With Tatweer [Dubai City Guide]
- Merrill Lynch says strong demographics and housing supply demand mortgage credit in Middle East and North Africa [AME Info]
- Modest upswing in Australian property market [The Australian]
- Goldman Raises $4 Billion for New Property Fund [Bloomberg]
- Tiger Woods’s Group Breaks Ground on Dubai Golf Course Complex [Bloomberg]
The Tourist Residential Market in Montenegro
by Overseas Property Mall on Monday, June 25th, 2007 in Montenegro Property

Colliers International office in Belgrade has reported sharp increases in the cost of properties in the Montenegrin coastal districts. In the list of resorts with prices in the 2500 to 5000 Euro range are Bar, Hercog Novi, Tivat and Ulcinj, while the report implies that prices in Budva, Petrovac and Sveti Stefan are higher still.
A key consideration has to be the stability of this part of South Eastern Europe. Montenegro shares frontiers with Albania, Kosovo and Bosnia Hercegovina and this latest phase of the country’s independent existence dates back only 12 months. To put this in some sort of context; how many of the investors in properties in Tallinn or Riga would have been prepared to commit themselves as far back as 1992? Montenegro’s economy suffered from being tied to Serbia’s in the 1990s – an important factor in the move to independence – and the country has a low GDP (at $2.27bn considerably less than the last year’s profits for Tesco) and high levels of poverty. For foreign investors the factors in its favour are natural beauty, closeness to Western Europe and the use of the Euro.
Where do Shanghai’s Property Taxes Fit into China’s Economic Jigsaw Puzzle?
by Overseas Property Mall on Saturday, June 23rd, 2007 in China Property, Shanghai Property
While the continued upward path of the Shanghai stock market has featured regularly in the world’s media, the city’s real estate market has not received so much attention. Nevertheless, property in China’s largest city is undoubtedly part of the boom and the web of economic dilemmas facing the Chinese authorities.
The latest efforts to curb real estate speculation have resulted in the introduction of a 20% tax on second-hand property sales. One explanation given for the increase is the authorities’ desire to prevent a speculative bubble in real estate fuelled by profits from the stock market. Another, more plausible reason is that the lure of the stock market is so great that people are selling property in order to finance speculative investments. This tax hike should certainly be seen in the context of Prime Minister Wen Jiabao’s general efforts to decelerate the juggernaut of the Chinese economy.




